FC St. Paulivs
VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 16 May 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: FC St. Pauli 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Wolfsburg35%
- FC St. Pauli 31%
- Draw 34%
- VfL Wolfsburg 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 34.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC St. Pauli won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 34.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC St. Pauli's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC St. Pauli: DLWWW
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-14 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 16 May 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.