FC St. Paulivs
VfL WolfsburgFC St. Pauli 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 16 May 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Wolfsburg35%
- FC St. Pauli
- Draw
- VfL Wolfsburg
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 34.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and FC St. Pauli won 1 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. VfL Wolfsburg's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 22 Sep 2026.
FC St. Pauli: DWDLL
VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 22 Sep 2026.
- 5Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-16 | FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–3 |
| 2026-01-14 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli | 1–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 16 May 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.