VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgvsFC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli

VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Wed, 14 Jan 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg50%

Tofiko50% / 26% / 25%
Market51% / 25% / 24%
  • VfL Wolfsburg
  • Draw
  • FC St. Pauli

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 49.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 2 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. VfL Wolfsburg's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg1–0
2026-05-16FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg1–3
2026-01-14VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli2–1
2025-03-08VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli1–1
2024-10-26FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg0–0

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FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
Wed, 14 Jan 2026 17:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFC St. Pauli 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg16 May 2026 →