1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05vsFC St. Pauli crestFC St. Pauli

1.FSV Mainz 05 0-0 FC St. Pauli — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 21 Dec 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0554%

Tofiko54% / 27% / 20%
Market48% / 27% / 24%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05
  • Draw
  • FC St. Pauli

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 53.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. FC St. Pauli's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03FC St. Pauli vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–2
2025-12-211.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli0–0
2025-02-221.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli2–0
2024-10-05FC St. Pauli vs 1.FSV Mainz 050–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli kick off?
Sun, 21 Dec 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFC St. Pauli 1-2 FSV Mainz 053 May 2026 →