1.FSV Mainz 05vs
Hamburger SV1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 30 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw80%
1X2: model backs 1.FSV Mainz 05 at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- Hamburger SV
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or draw80%
- Draw or Hamburger SV51%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Hamburger SV, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 49.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 108 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Hamburger SV: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 108 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–5 |
| 2026-02-20 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sat, 30 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.