Hamburger SVvs
1.FSV Mainz 05Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hamburger SV36%
- Hamburger SV 36%
- Draw 32%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 32%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Hamburger SV, rating it at 36.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Hamburger SV won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 36.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.