1.FSV Mainz 05vs
SC Freiburg1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0542%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 42%
- Draw 30%
- SC Freiburg 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 41.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
SC Freiburg: LWLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-03 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-21 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 6 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.