SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 17 Apr 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg46%
Tofiko46% / 30% / 24%
- SC Freiburg
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 46.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 4 of 10, with 6 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SC Freiburg: DWWWW
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-03 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-21 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-01 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-12 | SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-18 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 6 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.90 goals per game.