SC Paderborn 07vs
1.FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Paderborn 0739%
- SC Paderborn 07
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SC Paderborn 07 or draw69%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0561%
- SC Paderborn 07 or 1.FSV Mainz 0570%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- SC Paderborn 07, last 10 home games8 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks SC Paderborn 07, rating it at 39.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and SC Paderborn 07 did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. SC Paderborn 07's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SC Paderborn 07: LWWLL
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 0.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Paderborn 07 (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does SC Paderborn 07 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Paderborn 07 vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.00 goals per game.