1.FSV Mainz 05 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0550%
Tofiko50% / 24% / 26%
Market42% / 27% / 32%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
- Draw
- VfL Wolfsburg
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 50.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–3 |
| 2024-05-18 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-30 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-22 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 5–0 |
| 2021-12-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.