1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05vsVfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

1.FSV Mainz 05 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0550%

Tofiko50% / 24% / 26%
Market42% / 27% / 32%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05
  • Draw
  • VfL Wolfsburg

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 50.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.70Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-241.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg3–1
2025-08-31VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–1
2025-04-191.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg2–2
2024-12-08VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 054–3
2024-05-18VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–3
2024-01-131.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
2023-04-30VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 053–0
2022-11-051.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg0–3
2022-04-22VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 055–0
2021-12-041.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg3–0

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FAQ

Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legVfL Wolfsburg 1-1 FSV Mainz 0531 Aug 2025 →