1.FSV Mainz 05vs
VfL Wolfsburg1.FSV Mainz 05 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0550%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 50%
- Draw 24%
- VfL Wolfsburg 26%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 50.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1.FSV Mainz 05 won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWD
VfL Wolfsburg: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–3 |
| 2024-05-18 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-30 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-22 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 5–0 |
| 2021-12-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 24 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.