VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1.FSV Mainz 05 — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 31 Aug 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Wolfsburg40%
Tofiko40% / 24% / 36%
Market44% / 26% / 30%
- VfL Wolfsburg
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD
1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 4–3 |
| 2024-05-18 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–3 |
| 2024-01-13 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-30 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-22 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 5–0 |
| 2021-12-04 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sun, 31 Aug 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.