VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburgvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1.FSV Mainz 05 — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 31 Aug 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg40%

Tofiko40% / 24% / 36%
Market44% / 26% / 30%
  • VfL Wolfsburg
  • Draw
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg: WLDWD

1.FSV Mainz 05: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.70Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-241.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg3–1
2025-08-31VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–1
2025-04-191.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg2–2
2024-12-08VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 054–3
2024-05-18VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 051–3
2024-01-131.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
2023-04-30VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 053–0
2022-11-051.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg0–3
2022-04-22VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 055–0
2021-12-041.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sun, 31 Aug 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFSV Mainz 05 3-1 VfL Wolfsburg24 Jan 2026 →