Hamburger SV crestHamburger SVvsRB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 06 Feb 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

RB Leipzig to win52%

1X2: model backs RB Leipzig at 52%.

Tofiko22% / 27% / 52%
  • Hamburger SV
  • Draw
  • RB Leipzig

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Hamburger SV or draw48%
  • Draw or RB Leipzig79%
  • Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Hamburger SV, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • RB Leipzig, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 51.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Hamburger SV won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

RB Leipzig: WWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 116 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-13RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV5–0
2026-03-01Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig1–2
2025-10-18RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig kick off?
Sat, 06 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SV13 Sept 2026 →