RB Leipzigvs
Hamburger SVRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SV — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSun, 13 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig67%
- RB Leipzig 67%
- Draw 20%
- Hamburger SV 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 67.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and RB Leipzig won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- RB Leipzig's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
RB Leipzig: WLLWW
Hamburger SV: LLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV | 5–0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.