RB Leipzigvs
Hamburger SVRB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig66%
- RB Leipzig 66%
- Draw 22%
- Hamburger SV 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 66.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and RB Leipzig won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RB Leipzig: WWWLL
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.