1. FC Union Berlinvs
RB Leipzig1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig48%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 23%
- Draw 29%
- RB Leipzig 48%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. RB Leipzig's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2025-12-12 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-01 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2024-09-14 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-04 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0–3 |
| 2023-02-11 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2022-04-23 | RB Leipzig vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-03 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.