FC Dallasvs
Houston DynamoFC Dallas 0-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 18 May 2025 01:25 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas52%
- FC Dallas 52%
- Draw 23%
- Houston Dynamo 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo | 0–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 18 May 2025 01:25 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.