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Vancouver Whitecaps FC crestVancouver Whitecaps FCvsFC Dallas crestFC Dallas

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 5-0 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vancouver Whitecaps FC53%

  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC 53%
  • Draw 22%
  • FC Dallas 24%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Vancouver Whitecaps FC, rating it at 53.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Vancouver Whitecaps FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

Vancouver Whitecaps FC: WLWDL

FC Dallas: LWWLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs FC Dallas5–0
2026-05-14FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC2–3
2025-10-19Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs FC Dallas1–2
2025-03-16FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs FC Dallas?
Tofiko's model favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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